Statistics for dating international dating ventures


09-Jun-2016 05:43

The actual events of the date will give us a much better idea of my date's interest in me.Suppose that we are on a fairly standard first date — meeting up for drinks after work.The last term we need, also down at the bottom right of the Bayes formula, is the prior probability, before considering the new evidence, that my date is into me: P(not A).We can actually figure out this probability pretty easily.We also supposed above that P(A) should be 0.1, or 10%.P(E | A), also showing up twice on the right hand side of the equation, is the flipside of what we're looking for — the probability that we would see the evidence E, assuming that the proposition A is true.P(E | not A) is the probability that we see our evidence E, given that the proposition A is feel particularly attracted towards me.

statistics for dating-18

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This is where the magic of Bayes' theorem lies — it is often much easier to answer this reversed question than it is to answer our original question.One way to interpret this probability is as my degree of certainty, measured from 0% to 100%, that A is true — that my date is in fact into me.



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